Official Gaza death toll likely undercounts by 41 percent, says study
An official Palestinian toll for direct deaths caused by Israel’s war on Gaza likely undercounted casualties by 41 percent in the first nine months of the war, a new academic study published in The Lancet has claimed.
The peer-reviewed statistical analysis, conducted by academics at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Yale University and other institutions, used a statistical method called capture-recapture analysis.
The researchers assessed the death toll from Israel’s assault on Gaza between October 2023 and the end of June 2024, estimating 64,260 deaths due to traumatic injury.
This figure is 41 percent higher than the Palestinian Health Ministry count, with the study explaining that the capacity to maintain electronic death records deteriorated as Israel’s military campaign continued.
The study said 59.1 percent of those killed were women, children and people over the age of 65. The research did not provide an estimate of how many Palestinian fighters have been killed.
As of January 9, the Palestinian Health Ministry’s death toll stands at 46,006 people.
I do hope that the report is correct. There should be many more casualties as a result of the utter stupidity of both Hamas and Gazans. If the Hostages are not released by Jan 20,2025 than just go in guns blazing and anyone who is not in the designated Safe Zone is a terrorist. Stop with the aid until the Hostages are released and Hamas(Gaza) surrenders.
You were right with your numbers.